TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs fnatic (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof Alliance, fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98f9…a9bcbacked fnatic0c45,993$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2606…ba10backed Alliance65c19,950$12,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,074.223956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed fnatic35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Alliance64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked fnatic35c3,804$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.256147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance65c3,112$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.624,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed fnatic40c2,943$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.264731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed fnatic35c2,744$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.612642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed fnatic35c2,450$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.1813850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed fnatic37c2,200$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81435236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Alliance65c2,195$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.53,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance73c1,975$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.116,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Alliance61c1,731$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9636742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed fnatic39c1,570$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4648437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed fnatic36c1,549$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.732240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9f…b921backed fnatic40c1,455$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.443525.7%9 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-48.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed fnatic36c1,336$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.81,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed fnatic39c1,102$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.534332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed fnatic32c999.88$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3522734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked fnatic20c959.72$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3424939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked fnatic21c924.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.488232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed fnatic38c866.52$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.285,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Alliance60c780.8$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.329554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed Alliance69c772.49$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.551225%3 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed fnatic36c769.28$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.943630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed fnatic31c743.92$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7229858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173d…8091backed fnatic18c675.61$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.134942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39e2…040dbacked fnatic29c672.55$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7310045%45 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Alliance62c650.19$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.071,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Alliance80c618.05$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked fnatic37c607.11$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7418043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed fnatic37c577.32$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6124429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed fnatic35c549.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.245639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Alliance70c527.9$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.731,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed fnatic20c468.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2218342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Alliance63c465.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7955950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed fnatic21c445.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6743933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance75c438.66$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.321,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed fnatic36c408.68$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1220952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Alliance59c383.11$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3145465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed fnatic33c376.12$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1228248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcd4…39b8backed fnatic28c371.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.56637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x766c…bb56backed Alliance67c365.75$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.77245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked fnatic35c345.95$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.084850%24 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed fnatic27c335$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.291,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance62c333.16$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.165,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200c…3ad8backed Alliance67c329.17$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed fnatic35c318.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.488644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic36c309.36$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.177,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Alliance64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10849849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed fnatic18c293.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.153324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Alliance71c263.62$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4549376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed fnatic36c237.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.587245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Alliance76c235.24$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8332653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked fnatic37c227.77$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1915637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed fnatic28c213.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.023215.6%5 W · 27 L-8.2wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic17c204.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.264,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Alliance75c202.8$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4461754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed fnatic36c192.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2463541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed fnatic25c190.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7561338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a81…a925backed fnatic27c180.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.83122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d64…b4c0backed fnatic42c170$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.43836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed fnatic19c156.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3157358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed fnatic35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.554032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked fnatic31c145.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0520145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed fnatic19c141.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.742,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5aaf…61a5backed fnatic17c137.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed fnatic38c125.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1550050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Alliance79c125.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6336151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0935…d9efbacked Alliance80c123.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.167471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Alliance74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.215935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Alliance73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48838.6%34 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed fnatic16c117.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.991,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Alliance52c107.86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7741640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe886…e553backed fnatic29c102.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.192817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb909…2d57backed Alliance69c99.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.218056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed fnatic36c98.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.162,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7489…7c83backed fnatic36c93.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.662842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed fnatic40c93.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0514839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed fnatic35c88.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9428852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231d…4bdfbacked fnatic20c87.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.153638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Alliance61c84.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9551755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x295a…5adabacked fnatic45c82.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.132437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed fnatic36c81.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.421,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed fnatic37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8754439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed fnatic42c76.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8540449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed fnatic38c76.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8876248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c38…3fa9backed fnatic32c74.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Alliance80c74.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8233060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff09…80b5backed fnatic20c71.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2818530.3%56 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d1…6e8ebacked fnatic42c68.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.962944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd44…be3ebacked fnatic28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fd…d60dbacked Alliance65c67.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.498554.1%46 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked fnatic26c66.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.391,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed fnatic36c64.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0818145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed fnatic36c62.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.532,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Alliance73c57.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6433241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked fnatic33c57.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Alliance71c57.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.311,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x846d…67b3backed fnatic44c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0824842.7%106 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.