CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e488e9bee6cc4ce92fc9619e1561a693b6d3b943f6c4a7bcbe0ab7351324f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed fnatic | 44c | 3,012$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.39 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance | 63c | 2,974$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.73 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Alliance | 67c | 2,476$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Alliance | 60c | 2,072$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.44 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…dd32backed fnatic | 36c | 929.28$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.54 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed fnatic | 25c | 749.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked fnatic | 18c | 738.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance | 56c | 541.28$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked fnatic | 45c | 504.8$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Alliance | 70c | 419.31$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked fnatic | 36c | 340.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic | 53c | 286.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 47c | 265.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked fnatic | 34c | 248.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed fnatic | 43c | 239.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked fnatic | 13c | 238.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Alliance | 54c | 225$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked fnatic | 12c | 216.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Alliance | 65c | 202.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…08a1backed fnatic | 35c | 198.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Alliance | 68c | 187.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Alliance | 27c | 186.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Alliance | 31c | 149.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Alliance | 70c | 146.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Alliance | 55c | 142.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Alliance | 70c | 116.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked fnatic | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Alliance | 29c | 98.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed fnatic | 26c | 97.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked fnatic | 45c | 95.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed fnatic | 39c | 95.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 44c | 90.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked fnatic | 39c | 89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Alliance | 31c | 83.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe04a…9eb8backed fnatic | 17c | 83.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Alliance | 54c | 83.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked fnatic | 71c | 81.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Alliance | 75c | 79.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed fnatic | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed fnatic | 32c | 74.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Alliance | 70c | 73.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed fnatic | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed fnatic | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed fnatic | 31c | 61.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Alliance | 61c | 60.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed fnatic | 30c | 59.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alliance | 58c | 50.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed fnatic | 30c | 49.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Alliance | 55c | 48.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Alliance | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Alliance | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked fnatic | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Alliance | 73c | 37.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked fnatic | 31c | 35.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked fnatic | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed fnatic | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed fnatic | 49c | 33.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Alliance | 61c | 32.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Alliance | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed Alliance | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Alliance | 64c | 28.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked Alliance | 55c | 27.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Alliance | 64c | 25.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…1fbfbacked Alliance | 68c | 23.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Alliance | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked Alliance | 78c | 20.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked fnatic | 77c | 18.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs fnatic (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs fnatic - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.