Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lamine Yamal Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc5cdf40aa827e70c1c7a6b4e611ef1af5b82d32acd2025a63534c4ff5ea71d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 285.23$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…c21ebacked Yes | 31c | 257.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 22c | 232.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…3830backed Yes | 32c | 94.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded9…0c22backed Yes | 33c | 90.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 65c | 73.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 70c | 66.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 77c | 60.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 46.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 68c | 37.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 34.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…855ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…ecc8backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…c2e5backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 70c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac3…5923backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 72c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 72c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 73c | 15.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lamine Yamal Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?this page
- Will Emiliano Martínez Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?No won
- Will Enzo Fernández Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?No won
- Will Ferran Torres Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?No won
- Will Pedri Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?No won
- Will Rodri Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?No won
- Will Unai Simón Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.