Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open: Zverev vs. Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98e6b920eca0d9489fc40fc887565f544ca4c47de77e761f568d17919fc83ff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Djokovic | 12c | 30,170$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.56 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Djokovic | 59c | 7,937$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Zverev | 42c | 4,761$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Djokovic | 5c | 4,544$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Djokovic | 11c | 4,342$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Djokovic | 66c | 4,084$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 64cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Zverev | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Zverev | 41c | 2,927$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.83 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Zverev | 39c | 2,580$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Zverev | 39c | 2,522$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.53 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Zverev | 49c | 2,406$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…3b57backed Zverev | 41c | 2,402$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…3252backed Djokovic | 62c | 1,594$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Zverev | 40c | 1,523$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.9 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Zverev | 41c | 1,360$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Zverev | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.9 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Zverev | 41c | 1,227$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…56c1backed Djokovic | 62c | 1,210$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Zverev | 49c | 1,124$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Djokovic | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.13 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bf…2c84backed Zverev | 40c | 998.16$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Zverev | 38c | 877.3$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…b683backed Djokovic | 61c | 818.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Djokovic | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Zverev | 39c | 800$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.4 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0992…2a08backed Djokovic | 52c | 680$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Djokovic | 60c | 600.84$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…1dabbacked Djokovic | 61c | 564.2$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Djokovic | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Zverev | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…27a7backed Djokovic | 53c | 486.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Djokovic | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…4790backed Djokovic | 58c | 444.35$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…768fbacked Djokovic | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Djokovic | 63c | 379.03$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14bb…882bbacked Djokovic | 61c | 306.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Djokovic | 66c | 305.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Djokovic | 63c | 271.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Zverev | 39c | 253.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Djokovic | 62c | 251.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Zverev | 41c | 246.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Djokovic | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Djokovic | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…42debacked Djokovic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Djokovic | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…5250backed Djokovic | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Djokovic | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…926ebacked Zverev | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Zverev | 40c | 128.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…f393backed Zverev | 40c | 125.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Djokovic | 61c | 114.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Zverev | 38c | 100.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Djokovic | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf55…97bcbacked Djokovic | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…2921backed Djokovic | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Djokovic | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Zverev | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Zverev | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Zverev | 41c | 44.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked Djokovic | 62c | 28.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…f5c4backed Djokovic | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.