Earnings · resolved market
Will European Wax Center (EWCZ) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40291b53a2dc8ea0aa16e06757f48c994734b8024c621abd30726a032bb2dacc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,868$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 25c | 1,517$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.22 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…690bbacked No | 20c | 912.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 16c | 899.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 18c | 519.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 15c | 444.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 16c | 399.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…c603backed No | 21c | 396.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 394.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 15c | 376$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 74c | 298.4$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 25c | 290.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 15c | 276$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 72c | 273.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 23c | 272.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 75c | 241.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes | 80c | 224.57$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Yes | 75c | 219.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…c3dfbacked No | 20c | 214.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 13c | 212.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 79c | 208.14$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 20c | 202.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 15c | 187$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed No | 23c | 180.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed No | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 15c | 144$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 79c | 128$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…8d7fbacked No | 25c | 120.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…9c16backed No | 18c | 102.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…df7dbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 20c | 99.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 17c | 98.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 16c | 68.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…578cbacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 20c | 57.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked Yes | 79c | 50.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 79c | 50.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…a5b1backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4b…f8d4backed No | 24c | 42.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Yes | 72c | 34.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…96d0backed Yes | 77c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca0…5907backed Yes | 77c | 31.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…2728backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…700bbacked Yes | 78c | 30.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac91…83c9backed Yes | 76c | 29.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc1…3eb2backed Yes | 78c | 28.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…99febacked Yes | 77c | 27.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…186abacked Yes | 80c | 25.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…889cbacked Yes | 77c | 23.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345f…38dbbacked Yes | 80c | 20.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7c…cde0backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…b770backed Yes | 80c | 19.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…4060backed Yes | 79c | 18.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 77cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 71c | 18.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3264backed Yes | 80c | 17.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 74c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 79c | 15.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…c361backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.