Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf70588303e5b42f90f9099526854903d005eb78ea2e267746b24e79c93da4250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x037b…47f4backed No | 1c | 2,652$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…be17backed Yes | 67c | 2,181$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.65 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 1,674$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.74 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 80c | 725.62$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 25c | 597.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.98 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…0fd7backed Yes | 54c | 558.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 507.19$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.05 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 37c | 500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 37c | 490.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.01 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed Yes | 25c | 427$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.28 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Yes | 55c | 418.3$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…afb9backed Yes | 39c | 342.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…352ebacked Yes | 75c | 336$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 76c | 321.65$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 306.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.86 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…d212backed Yes | 26c | 243.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 225.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…0339backed Yes | 48c | 217.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…d820backed Yes | 34c | 214.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…464cbacked Yes | 34c | 210.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 44c | 198.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…d456backed No | 75c | 185.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 71c | 179.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 33c | 176$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed No | 39c | 170$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 24c | 148.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 111 | 72.1%80 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…9949backed Yes | 18c | 147.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150a…e004backed Yes | 48c | 144.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 52c | 126.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…3589backed No | 47c | 126.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 125.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…8994backed Yes | 32c | 115.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…7ea9backed Yes | 18c | 109.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…bf84backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca9b…217fbacked No | 64c | 97.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 28c | 96.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…611abacked Yes | 41c | 94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 59c | 83.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…89fbbacked Yes | 49c | 83.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…4b2bbacked Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 20c | 79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 39c | 70.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…6a42backed No | 76c | 66.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…f0febacked Yes | 37c | 66.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…e36ebacked Yes | 35c | 65.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…bed4backed Yes | 66c | 65.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…b7bcbacked Yes | 66c | 60.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…56c0backed No | 57c | 50.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…1757backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed No | 59c | 48.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…3609backed Yes | 68c | 45.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…8963backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…f95abacked Yes | 27c | 40.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 69c | 38.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 59c | 37.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…cb7cbacked No | 70c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 173 | 34.7%60 W · 113 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c84…787dbacked Yes | 35c | 34.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…2424backed Yes | 48c | 31.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…1614backed Yes | 54c | 30.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…7c5abacked Yes | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7262…dd51backed Yes | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17f…19c5backed No | 58c | 27.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 49c | 27.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…fc76backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…d950backed No | 63c | 26.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…a5e4backed Yes | 53c | 21.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…54febacked No | 78c | 20.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea02…23d1backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Yes | 61c | 18.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…7c05backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…4c01backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 41°F or below on November 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or higher on November 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on November 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.