TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed No0c14,117$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.131241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No59c6,610$3,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.912055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c2,993$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2333444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No17c2,752$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.8722652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No60c2,240$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3443043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18019345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c2,000$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.6913933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No33c1,664$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.1146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No21c1,617$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.252138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes64c1,563$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked No52c1,541$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.11827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No25c1,218$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.122852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c910.67$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.6830055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e0…e058backed Yes43c857.22$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No9c772.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No14c687.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5416858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No19c623.19$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.921136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes63c600$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes79c547$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5111750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No28c546.1$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.712250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb076…4a45backed No5c522.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.822352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.198949.4%44 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes41c459.06$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8243748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No10c428$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.41742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes63c399.59$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.263941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes41c327.38$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.52152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes47c317.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed Yes67c308.75$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.891172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes70c302.86$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.864163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed No62c299.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes39c288.31$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.195933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No59c280.65$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.588051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No24c279$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.44946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No23c279$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.544242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Yes41c244.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1163100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1166746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7609…ee8ebacked No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes42c154.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.762035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes42c154.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.763339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed No38c128.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes41c128$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.521883.3%15 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+67.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed No29c111.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes53c84.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes57c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.74852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1711351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b1a…16b7backed Yes39c69.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0999…dd96backed No36c62.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+66.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+104.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed No20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes41c58.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked No59c51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.093073.3%22 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes41c49.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked No59c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.628247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes43c46.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No27c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.428659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed No59c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No57c40.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed No62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Yes42c36.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.232748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb959…a1d7backed Yes38c34.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes38c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes41c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes42c25.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.785250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe12f…24d7backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3552…bbb2backed Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes66c18.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+187.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1511063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.