Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x122a1474d7acc414eab2bc8562e0f323601c9b529d8ee39c3cf07d39514dc5b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 3c | 3,244$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 3,175$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.54 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,383$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,210$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 75c | 1,206$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 74c | 950$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 14c | 807.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 805.36$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.91 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 23c | 671.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked No | 54c | 463.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 24c | 332.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 288.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 73c | 182$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed No | 73c | 164$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…58b4backed Yes | 10c | 161$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked No | 73c | 141$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 79c | 135.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2f…6512backed Yes | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 23c | 107.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 79.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 33c | 66.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 24c | 59.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 75c | 50.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Yes | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 33c | 39.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Yes | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 71c | 33.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 33.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Yes | 38c | 31.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Yes | 47c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 73c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.