Fifa International · resolved market
Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd3267d858e8d4db4c7123d7e32886796266824f8b100dc1232c08f1e7e21ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 56c | 23,755$13,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,231.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 10,812$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,011.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 8,265$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.6 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,818$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.96 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Over | 50c | 1,801$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.5 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,447$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 54c | 539.91$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.25 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 48c | 417.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.81 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 390.34$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Under | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 45c | 256.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 6c | 254.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 54c | 153.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 44c | 119.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 44c | 64.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 21c | 59.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked Over | 44c | 55.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…0fb0backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 46c | 24.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5this page
- Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.