Fifa International · resolved market
Botswana vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f521fafa24d83d96422ea4f7f65dda1a35b4064045ca5c7af66ba5c914ac6c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 63c | 1,672$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 1,314$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 51c | 1,198$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.88 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 58c | 1,041$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 49c | 819.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.15 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 599$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 38c | 271$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 227.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 64c | 156.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…613abacked Under | 54c | 154$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…265ebacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botswana vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5this page
- Botswana vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Botswana vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.