TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$436,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$479,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No15c108,400$16,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,346.125,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No19c41,487$7,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,731.513844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No14c33,247$4,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,654.64533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No15c21,409$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No15c16,640$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.811643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No15c16,178$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.579435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No14c11,437$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.441,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No0c7,550$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.18046.3%37 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No15c7,536$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.126749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No23c6,618$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.143336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c6,090$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1414.9%2 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+100.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No11c6,000$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No12c4,800$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.97425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No15c4,037$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.5727540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a8…f7d1backed No14c2,999$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No14c2,976$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.66137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008930.3%27 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No16c2,806$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.211,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No10c2,154$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.642,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No21c1,623$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed No16c1,584$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.321942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No3c1,503$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No1c1,503$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0292235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No17c1,321$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.073650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No9c1,250$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.58532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No13c1,150$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.52334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013533.3%45 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No14c900.3$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0413821%29 W · 109 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No16c877.83$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1512750.4%64 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No12c726.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.162652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed No19c666$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.541323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No13c638.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.425450%27 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No14c624$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.366056.7%34 W · 26 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No17c549.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.491136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1421…51d1backed No3c509.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd94a…cef0backed No13c450$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8337…ee1bbacked No18c409.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed No14c407.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.111643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed No17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No18c348.84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5933…40cbbacked No15c342.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No13c326.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.658446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed No14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked No14c286.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No14c286.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.74936.7%18 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01d9…1c24backed No13c282.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No16c247.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No22c225.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9114153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed No9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed No17c216.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.711040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No19c206.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.629425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed No19c200.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No14c193.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.152259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No14c183.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6413951.1%71 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No13c175$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.757832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed No14c175$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No13c171.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.989141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked No9c168$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x706a…4b9fbacked No23c165.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No13c156.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.047945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed No14c155.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.021560%9 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No14c155.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.936940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.529917.4%52 W · 247 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013846.4%64 W · 74 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No10c133.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.712737%10 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8396…0de1backed No14c130$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked No17c126.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb768…b6f7backed No15c120.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No14c103.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.453016.7%5 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked No15c101.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.711637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf422…ea56backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No13c99.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.832951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff49…2f07backed No14c98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked No21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No15c91.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.748156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes73c87.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x034e…8048backed No23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b30…a315backed No23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5b…ace4backed No18c77.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No15c71.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.663928.2%11 W · 28 L-9.0wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No18c70.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9523…56e0backed No17c63.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed No20c60.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d85…0e0abacked Yes78c50.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c7…848fbacked Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68f…3d74backed Yes79c20.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.34475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2492…faf9backed Yes79c13.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.