TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alexander Bublik

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bublikof Zandschulp, Bublik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Zandschulp11c7,218$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.128,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Zandschulp25c4,831$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.532,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Bublik67c3,360$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.0213260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e13…670bbacked Bublik69c3,144$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.85164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Zandschulp34c2,407$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.2310443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Bublik66c1,500$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.9566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Zandschulp32c1,380$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.081,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zandschulp31c1,307$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.267,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Zandschulp16c1,262$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.943938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Zandschulp2c1,253$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.012,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Zandschulp33c1,232$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1727733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Zandschulp35c1,094$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.0293055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Zandschulp34c1,045$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.092,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Zandschulp34c999.98$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Bublik67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.521070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Zandschulp34c677.53$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.072,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00de…9c2ebacked Bublik66c671.21$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.211770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae04…7411backed Bublik66c551.86$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.632277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Bublik63c550$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.58446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Bublik75c541.72$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2686470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62c1…4f93backed Zandschulp7c518.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3860%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Zandschulp7c494.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.553745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zandschulp9c487.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.242,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Bublik65c474.71$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.153063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Zandschulp8c424.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.762,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Zandschulp4c397.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Bublik66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0365651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Zandschulp34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35e…7754backed Bublik65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bublik64c292.82$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.421,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zandschulp34c279.9$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Bublik67c277.71$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.369857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Bublik64c272.68$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1838348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Zandschulp34c260.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4124846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Zandschulp39c252.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.752,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Zandschulp17c248.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.383941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ec…f5b5backed Bublik66c240$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Bublik67c220.91$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.914456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Zandschulp16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Bublik67c208.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9615560.6%94 W · 61 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Bublik62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Bublik64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727040%28 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Bublik64c199.95$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.981,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Zandschulp37c189.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Zandschulp36c187.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4580…16e3backed Bublik70c179.02$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb6…d759backed Zandschulp36c166.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Bublik64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Bublik65c153.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.831154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Bublik66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5223454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Bublik66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529669.8%67 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Zandschulp36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Zandschulp36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Zandschulp33c135.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.11637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Zandschulp27c122.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.872,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Bublik66c104.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6710059%59 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Zandschulp36c102.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7328726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Bublik62c100.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.321,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Zandschulp34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342825%7 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc88d…1da9backed Bublik56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc55…3f46backed Bublik65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355074%37 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Zandschulp18c99.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.841,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Bublik65c99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6521346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Zandschulp34c98.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.922236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x176c…089ebacked Bublik66c88.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Bublik68c73.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4846040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Zandschulp36c67.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4410252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed Bublik66c66.03$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Bublik69c65.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.581040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Zandschulp18c63.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.077444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Zandschulp33c61.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Zandschulp37c61.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.484247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…70e3backed Bublik65c61.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.073046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Zandschulp35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Bublik67c57.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.993948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c88…d85dbacked Zandschulp36c57.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.561145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8566…3750backed Zandschulp36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x697e…3a0dbacked Bublik57c55.41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Zandschulp34c54.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6710755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ae…1464backed Bublik65c53.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.731650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bublik73c50.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4327627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Bublik77c45.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4633352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Bublik66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.455851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea1…f5f4backed Bublik72c43.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.191866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…ad71backed Bublik51c39.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.311258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64fc…9b30backed Bublik67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.313865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Bublik61c36.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0749749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bublik64c34.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.428139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x650b…683fbacked Bublik66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.24463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Bublik67c29.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9315363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bublik63c27.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bublik71c20.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e48…3213backed Bublik62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3dc…ece8backed Bublik65c17.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f23…e2c8backed Bublik62c16.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Bublik66c15.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.168645.3%39 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.