Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d73cd6d17b680ca6bfab834aa717264b0d6c203d1476b2e9a251d97070f117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Under | 53c | 1,920$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 967$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.49 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Under | 47c | 309.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 296.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 45c | 217.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…2372backed Over | 53c | 72.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 61c | 25.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaFUT Esports won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.