Valorant · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x458cde85a4ae36f640ea94f30d2a77f5d0cdd28bc14659180b97a0b5900e31e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Gentle Mates, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 5 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 501$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed FUT Esports | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed FUT Esports | 60c | 323.93$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.57 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaFUT Esports won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.