CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd5743ade22cf879c75853d05074d6b9327753e8d1d3d96cb9002638ce0fa92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof paiN, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 477.6$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.18 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed paiN | 48c | 463.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed paiN | 63c | 381.95$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked paiN | 77c | 357.6$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.65 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked paiN | 80c | 335.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 76c | 310.34$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.17 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 18c | 299.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed paiN | 68c | 253.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 249.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed paiN | 67c | 210.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 17c | 150.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked paiN | 19c | 150.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed paiN | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked paiN | 79c | 126.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed paiN | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed paiN | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 71.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed paiN | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 24c | 64.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 42.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed paiN | 68c | 29.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group DpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.