Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd086c1be058d7325fa4e37bb88c0c17f1e6330026a6a5c2bb9e8243b5e9542c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 31c | 733.47$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 36c | 609.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.68 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 2c | 549.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…7102backed Yes | 32c | 547.29$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 61c | 517.13$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 17c | 398.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 77c | 365.55$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 24c | 313.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…f052backed No | 62c | 289.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 63c | 285.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 19c | 280.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 276.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 32c | 275.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…610bbacked No | 80c | 211.29$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 6c | 208.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 7c | 198.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 6c | 182.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 28c | 173$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 36c | 166.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92b…a1c4backed Yes | 37c | 165.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…555fbacked Yes | 38c | 153.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Yes | 36c | 142.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 29c | 138.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…997fbacked Yes | 24c | 135$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3193…cc5abacked Yes | 29c | 132.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…9f16backed Yes | 12c | 130.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…e718backed No | 72c | 125.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 77c | 125.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc969…0377backed Yes | 8c | 122.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…f304backed Yes | 20c | 121.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 33c | 120.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 17c | 117.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 34c | 103.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed Yes | 30c | 102.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 98.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 34c | 89.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…7a97backed Yes | 26c | 75.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 74.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…8e95backed No | 71c | 70.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 69.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 71c | 69.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 35c | 59.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 28c | 55.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 31c | 53.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 64c | 51.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…0c2bbacked No | 62c | 49.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 33c | 47.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5473…38f4backed Yes | 40c | 47.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 40c | 46.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 67c | 44.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…76e5backed No | 80c | 43.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 32c | 40.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…b480backed Yes | 30c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 40c | 35.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 35.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 77c | 33.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 37c | 30.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…4fc0backed Yes | 40c | 30.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 64c | 30.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked Yes | 35c | 30.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…c493backed No | 66c | 29.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked No | 62c | 27.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed No | 63c | 26.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed No | 72c | 24.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed No | 73c | 24.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 65c | 24.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 75c | 23.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 74c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…3c94backed No | 74c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…4b7bbacked No | 62c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…c875backed No | 61c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 68c | 17.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 69c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…31c9backed No | 63c | 16.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd695…f470backed No | 71c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…577dbacked No | 71c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 66c | 15.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 76c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 76c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.