CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8888529e6a4d28aaa4b5a8f40d229b317040b111b4fc6a1f05761cb25dfb2e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2606…ba10backed K27 | 66c | 6,712$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…90cdbacked WW Team | 0c | 6,090$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed WW Team | 34c | 3,288$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.47 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 64c | 3,058$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.67 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked WW Team | 37c | 1,557$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed WW Team | 28c | 1,181$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.89 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed WW Team | 34c | 886.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.57 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed K27 | 63c | 632.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…18b6backed WW Team | 25c | 616.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team | 20c | 569.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed WW Team | 37c | 516.25$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WW Team | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed K27 | 63c | 487.35$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.2 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked WW Team | 34c | 478.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed WW Team | 38c | 448.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.41 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WW Team | 39c | 437.2$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed WW Team | 33c | 355.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed K27 | 61c | 327.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed WW Team | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked K27 | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed WW Team | 38c | 299.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked WW Team | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed WW Team | 27c | 265.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed WW Team | 36c | 256.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed WW Team | 36c | 225.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed K27 | 61c | 173.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WW Team | 8c | 157.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 67c | 156.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e6…2760backed WW Team | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed WW Team | 34c | 144.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked WW Team | 19c | 135.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed WW Team | 27c | 135.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K27 | 66c | 119.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked WW Team | 35c | 115.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 59c | 114.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed K27 | 72c | 112.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked WW Team | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked WW Team | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed K27 | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed K27 | 65c | 91.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed WW Team | 34c | 89.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked WW Team | 39c | 86.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed WW Team | 34c | 81.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed WW Team | 34c | 76.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed K27 | 78c | 73.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed WW Team | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed WW Team | 36c | 70.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed K27 | 58c | 64.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed WW Team | 44c | 58.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed WW Team | 35c | 54.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked WW Team | 36c | 53.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed WW Team | 32c | 51.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked K27 | 56c | 47.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed K27 | 65c | 45.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed K27 | 54c | 44.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked WW Team | 35c | 44.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WW Team | 30c | 43.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed K27 | 67c | 40.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked WW Team | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked K27 | 62c | 39.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed K27 | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked K27 | 78c | 36.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked K27 | 63c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…4a86backed K27 | 60c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed WW Team | 40c | 30.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked K27 | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed K27 | 76c | 27.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked WW Team | 44c | 26.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed WW Team | 43c | 25.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…384dbacked K27 | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed K27 | 71c | 18.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked K27 | 71c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.