TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa625…90cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Sao Leopoldo: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+223.9%+$25.76
Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$31.05
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$19
Sao Leopoldo: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Sao Leopoldo: Tomas Barrios vs Murkel Dellienbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+400%+$41.89
Sao Leopoldo: Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Johan Niklesbacked Johan Nikles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Grand Prix Hassan II: Henrique Rocha vs Marco Trungellitibacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
Grand Prix Hassan II: Mattia Bellucci vs Reda Bennanibacked Reda Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarkebacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Sao Leopoldo: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Valerio Aboianbacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$23.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-79%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$10.4
Counter-Strike: maquinas vs Phantom (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked maquinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Counter-Strike: B8 vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Counter-Strike: WAZABI vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked WAZABI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Counter-Strike: B8 vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.27
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.17
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.39
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Paris Basketballbacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$226.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.