TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sao Leopoldo: Tomas Barrios vs Murkel Dellien

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Murkel Dellienof Tomas Barrios, Murkel Dellien
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf164…8fa4backed Murkel Dellien18c6,402$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.644346.5%20 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tomas Barrios75c3,649$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Murkel Dellien20c3,586$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.752,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tomas Barrios21c2,304$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.724,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Murkel Dellien18c2,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6404,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Murkel Dellien19c1,250$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.9829533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Murkel Dellien53c1,192$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.441,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Murkel Dellien58c1,174$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.486,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Murkel Dellien74c1,132$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.637,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tomas Barrios46c1,115$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.632,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Tomas Barrios70c1,079$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.3280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Murkel Dellien20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80028828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Murkel Dellien70c953.59$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.52,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Murkel Dellien40c916.08$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.689,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Murkel Dellien26c738.73$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.838,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e69…1a91backed Tomas Barrios39c624.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Murkel Dellien18c570.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.7919338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Murkel Dellien18c481.93$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1829952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Tomas Barrios52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.824638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tomas Barrios56c464.55$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.643,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Murkel Dellien66c445.27$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3937071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Murkel Dellien73c407.94$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.324,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Tomas Barrios24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.441,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Tomas Barrios42c387$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.542,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Tomas Barrios42c356.4$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.91,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tomas Barrios56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.721,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Murkel Dellien56c344.24$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4653752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcad…2bc9backed Murkel Dellien57c340.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.811546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Tomas Barrios23c335.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.351,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Murkel Dellien20c318.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.944,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Murkel Dellien19c277$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.371,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Murkel Dellien19c263$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.037,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Murkel Dellien18c253.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Murkel Dellien19c248.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.111,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Tomas Barrios57c247.34$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9914772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Tomas Barrios45c216.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4962534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Murkel Dellien51c214.5$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1111659.5%69 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Tomas Barrios74c199.42$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Tomas Barrios63c195.56$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.210829.6%32 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Murkel Dellien20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Tomas Barrios28c149.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.811,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tomas Barrios56c123.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.346,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Murkel Dellien18c102.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.791,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Tomas Barrios52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.551539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Murkel Dellien52c88.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4281255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Tomas Barrios71c84.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8211325.7%29 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Murkel Dellien25c81.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.411,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Murkel Dellien19c78.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.47862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+79.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f79…adddbacked Tomas Barrios70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015374.5%114 W · 39 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Tomas Barrios69c68.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3150259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Murkel Dellien34c68.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1685348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Tomas Barrios75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Tomas Barrios80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Tomas Barrios59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.440048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Tomas Barrios47c56.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7448453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Murkel Dellien31c56.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Murkel Dellien34c56.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9341658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x817c…fb78backed Murkel Dellien18c55.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.562157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tomas Barrios76c55.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.247,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Murkel Dellien67c53.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8927940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tomas Barrios42c53.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.544,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Tomas Barrios62c53.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa625…90cdbacked Murkel Dellien20c52.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.891442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Murkel Dellien20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Tomas Barrios51c49.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4612854.7%70 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Tomas Barrios56c48.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…fe2abacked Murkel Dellien40c48.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.927665.8%50 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Murkel Dellien31c46.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1337153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Murkel Dellien46c42.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0584963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Murkel Dellien31c41.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7961752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Murkel Dellien34c39.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2539955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Tomas Barrios51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Tomas Barrios60c32.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.511,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked Tomas Barrios80c29.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.772070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Tomas Barrios79c26.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1515353.6%82 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Tomas Barrios57c25.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4427552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Murkel Dellien52c25.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1212457.3%71 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Tomas Barrios63c24.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410155.4%56 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Tomas Barrios52c23.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0224460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed Tomas Barrios50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109562.1%59 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x418c…4a41backed Murkel Dellien52c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4113…9521backed Tomas Barrios70c16.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Tomas Barrios79c16.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.936942%29 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Tomas Barrios65c16.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.574465.9%29 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e7d…1f1abacked Murkel Dellien70c15.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Murkel Dellien70c14.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4213466.4%89 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed Tomas Barrios69c14.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.115552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.