Euroleague · resolved market
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Jiangsu Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50eba495291fb79d09af8ddc27363988fafdd208333ce91827eedb37534633b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guangdong Southern Tigersof Guangdong Southern Tigers, Jiangsu Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jiangsu Dragons | 17c | 10,153$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.2 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jiangsu Dragons | 11c | 5,430$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.15 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Jiangsu Dragons | 18c | 2,441$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.88 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Jiangsu Dragons | 5c | 2,037$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 10c | 1,781$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Jiangsu Dragons | 19c | 1,628$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jiangsu Dragons | 19c | 1,289$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.97 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 77c | 1,167$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.92 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Jiangsu Dragons | 7c | 924.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80c | 900.53$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.97 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 871.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 728$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 4c | 518.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 454.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Jiangsu Dragons | 19c | 422.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Jiangsu Dragons | 8c | 377.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 373.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 364.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 72c | 355.72$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 306.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Jiangsu Dragons | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 9c | 286.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Jiangsu Dragons | 11c | 280.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 197.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 74c | 194.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 76c | 191.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…90cdbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 21c | 161.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…969cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 119.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Jiangsu Dragons | 21c | 115.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 115.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1e48backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80c | 112.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 104.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Jiangsu Dragons | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…93a1backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 100.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 11c | 100.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80c | 85.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 74c | 66.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 58.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 79c | 45.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 77c | 40.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 72c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.