CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b8108d322e6c120be5d3424c2b52e6ef9c01db03dd63ea7250f7c9d5ef5cdc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WAZABIof B8, WAZABI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa625…90cdbacked B8 | 2c | 1,154$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed B8 | 48c | 985.91$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.49 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WAZABI | 17c | 886.09$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WAZABI | 38c | 726.2$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WAZABI | 21c | 601.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WAZABI | 35c | 528.15$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.97 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed WAZABI | 26c | 500.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.69 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc37…8505backed B8 | 67c | 496.21$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WAZABI | 13c | 439.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed B8 | 25c | 317.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked B8 | 6c | 249$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked WAZABI | 28c | 197.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked WAZABI | 31c | 162.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked B8 | 64c | 156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed WAZABI | 13c | 155$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed B8 | 61c | 147.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked WAZABI | 37c | 140.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed WAZABI | 12c | 131.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked B8 | 71c | 127.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed WAZABI | 31c | 123.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked WAZABI | 32c | 107.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed B8 | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed WAZABI | 25c | 95.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked WAZABI | 48c | 91.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WAZABI | 40c | 90.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed WAZABI | 14c | 85.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed WAZABI | 50c | 81.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked WAZABI | 31c | 77.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed WAZABI | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed WAZABI | 21c | 65.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked B8 | 70c | 62.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed B8 | 75c | 50.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked WAZABI | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…feb2backed WAZABI | 39c | 46.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed B8 | 71c | 45.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked WAZABI | 37c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…1fc7backed B8 | 79c | 39.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked B8 | 47c | 39.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed WAZABI | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…0546backed B8 | 68c | 33.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed WAZABI | 40c | 32.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed WAZABI | 45c | 29.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed B8 | 75c | 24.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked B8 | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…756cbacked B8 | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.