La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be2dec0ad92d7dfbbf34079fcec56e76eafd6132b7096ff63172c7ffd343fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Under | 48c | 7,245$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…fffdbacked Over | 52c | 4,400$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 58c | 3,899$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.66 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 3,035$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.36 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,399$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.55 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Over | 52c | 1,804$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 1,349$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.08 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 824.3$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.55 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 52c | 722.89$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Over | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 39c | 543.46$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.95 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Under | 49c | 426.71$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 401.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 14c | 365.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 313.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 237.83$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 189.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 171.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 113.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 96.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Over | 51c | 91.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 56c | 85.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 79.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Under | 69c | 60.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Under | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 24c | 58.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 58c | 56.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Over | 46c | 51.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed Under | 63c | 49.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 50c | 48.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 48c | 48.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 49c | 46.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 46c | 35.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Over | 37c | 32.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 48c | 30.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 50c | 27.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 51c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.