Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b5b0e786f6e5aef1e8dd8437c413c1ed8bb17b0b20b8dddd30c2187c5edae43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 13c | 7,314$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.37 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 5,519$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 14c | 3,882$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.42 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 2,588$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.86 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 1,773$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.05 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 1,577$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.19 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 36c | 1,517$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,458$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,423$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 17c | 1,344$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 1,278$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.21 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 12c | 789.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 69c | 709.03$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…de49backed Yes | 12c | 676.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 666.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 65c | 535.77$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 444$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 17c | 409.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 64c | 383.05$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 368$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 342.72$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 25c | 327.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yes | 69c | 240.28$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 17c | 205.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…4768backed Yes | 12c | 197.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 165.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 71c | 160.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…d24abacked Yes | 19c | 146.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Yes | 68c | 146.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Yes | 65c | 142.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 18c | 133.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…8cb5backed Yes | 18c | 131.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 11c | 124.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 22c | 124.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 116.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 37c | 101.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 99.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed No | 32c | 95.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 89.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 15c | 86.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 18c | 72.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 28c | 68.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 66.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 18c | 65.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Yes | 20c | 58.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…22bcbacked No | 80c | 52.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed No | 50c | 43.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 38.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 36.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 80c | 32.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked No | 59c | 31.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 65c | 30.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1613backed Yes | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Yes | 59c | 28.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 68c | 16.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed No | 76c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.