South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x115bfd8a25ccf8164ca2a6ce7b8f8c14ea30b48e1c7b97d4ff7f0426d616add5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 72c | 1,499$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.61 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.52 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Over | 23c | 899.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 681.24$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.41 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 531.65$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 36c | 395$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 360.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 291.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 56c | 245.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 240.49$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 198.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 38c | 188.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 40c | 188.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…e882backed Over | 40c | 178.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 43c | 141.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 90 | 32.2%29 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 39c | 112.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 70c | 105.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 86.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 34c | 73.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 16c | 72.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 40c | 71.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 70c | 64.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 59.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 54.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 69c | 51.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 37.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 36c | 36.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 42c | 25.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- EC Vitória vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.