Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa991691e8dc86e211b828d8cecf5ee28cb3c0a6c22a3b91005be772339b05bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.96 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 3,587$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.1 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 30c | 1,764$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.64 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,596$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked No | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 1,376$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 1,063$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.61 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Yes | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 73c | 560$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 5c | 548.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 456.13$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 31c | 400$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 382$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 27c | 360$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 7c | 330.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 30c | 224.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 206.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 30c | 182.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…29bfbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…2ccbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 69c | 121.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 69c | 120.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…2213backed Yes | 32c | 106.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…4ddebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 26c | 75.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Yes | 29c | 59.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 29c | 57.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 31c | 51.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Yes | 33c | 30.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 58c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 70c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed No | 69c | 20.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 19.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime?this page
- Iraq leading at halftime?No won
- Senegal leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.