Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f77e57d0725334712b376181a0c67942cd1b0fe5e3fd73850442ada57e9c2f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 62c | 29,076$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,075.78 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 63c | 25,510$15,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,512.61 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Yes | 64c | 21,026$13,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,634 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 19,694$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247.08 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 36c | 12,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 12,447$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.85 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 11,618$7,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 39c | 10,355$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.42 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 1c | 7,458$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 37c | 5,651$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.73 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 62c | 5,329$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.32 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…dcc2backed Yes | 64c | 4,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.97 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 38c | 4,509$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.79 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 4,252$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.81 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 4,040$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 3,587$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.22 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 37c | 3,585$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.51 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 3,500$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.51 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked No | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 4c | 3,125$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Yes | 64c | 3,028$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.13 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 2,452$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.21 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 40c | 2,160$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.7 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 63c | 1,695$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.08 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,603$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.14 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 38c | 1,536$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.56 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 36c | 1,500$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.96 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 38c | 1,340$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.7 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 38c | 1,055$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.13 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 35c | 936$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 29c | 870.23$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7714backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 39c | 749.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…7784backed No | 38c | 571.35$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 39c | 501$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…20e6backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 497.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 62c | 474.41$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.28 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed Yes | 69c | 449$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 62c | 421.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 38c | 417.18$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 413.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 38c | 375.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 360$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed No | 4c | 339.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 270 | 32.2%87 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 4c | 312.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…29b6backed Yes | 63c | 273.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Yes | 62c | 264.32$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 237 | 47.3%112 W · 125 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 63c | 238.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 12c | 204.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…dc3ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eba…cbcfbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 38c | 160.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…5041backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 62c | 157.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 62c | 151.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 350 | 41.1%144 W · 206 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 62c | 138$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 38c | 137.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…ea6fbacked Yes | 60c | 136$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 38c | 135.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Yes | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 300 | 60%180 W · 120 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 60c | 129.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…d771backed Yes | 62c | 125.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Yes | 60c | 121$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 65c | 118.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…b1f8backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 39c | 96.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked No | 41c | 87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…3f87backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…4923backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal leading at halftime?this page
- Iraq leading at halftime?No won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.