Other European Leagues · resolved market

CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd370471f88ad3ea5758df717815dbf78cc4b08dc2ffed3bd7e3613fcdd91c4bd

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $63,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $62,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over	61c	12,783$7,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,793.85	189	40.2%76 W · 113 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over	32c	8,188$2,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,594.52	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-7.5wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	35c	8,158$2,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,283.55	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	51c	5,704$2,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,786.74	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under	48c	3,242$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,681.19	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…206dbacked Over	64c	2,029$1,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,298.67	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	269	49.8%134 W · 135 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	35c	1,880$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,226.41	920	43.4%399 W · 521 L	-4.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	48c	1,332$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.07	1,282	50.2%644 W · 638 L	-25.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	47c	1,235$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.81	2,130	45.8%975 W · 1,155 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	52c	1,228$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.17	322	59.3%191 W · 131 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	52c	1,108$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.83	306	56.2%172 W · 134 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Over	60c	1,046$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.34	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	54c	1,018$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.32	2,309	42.8%988 W · 1,321 L	-41.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over	56c	900.15$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.08	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-37%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Over	51c	869.22$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.15	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over	50c	795.2$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb355…f149backed Under	28c	700$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555a…6ee2backed Over	49c	665.29$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	70c	619.41$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.42	371	49.6%184 W · 187 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under	14c	575.98$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.34	112	29.5%33 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	53c	548.67$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.91	2,179	48%1,046 W · 1,133 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Over	46c	420.06$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.18	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over	49c	399.63$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.82	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	15c	361.82$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.38	1,107	47.7%528 W · 579 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	56c	347.71$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.99	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over	78c	253.03$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.36	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	74c	246.1$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.11	501	46.1%231 W · 270 L	-17.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	65c	201.82$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.19	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over	55c	199.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	76	60.5%46 W · 30 L	+12.6wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+42%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over	56c	173.86$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.36	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	36c	167.13$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.52	409	58.9%241 W · 168 L	+16.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over	56c	147.44$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.83	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b4…169bbacked Over	66c	144.71$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.03	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under	63c	123.85$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.59	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-7.0wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-32%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over	33c	119.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over	57c	119.5$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.02	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	16c	117.71$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.88	209	53.1%111 W · 98 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	16c	114.84$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.46	383	59.3%227 W · 156 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	22c	113.84$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.54	256	53.1%136 W · 120 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	70c	111.44$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	383	58.7%225 W · 158 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	16c	110.61$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.92	151	57.6%87 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	25c	108.86$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.16	2,640	35.7%942 W · 1,698 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over	18c	105.64$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	79	26.6%21 W · 58 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	17c	102.88$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.77	343	58.9%202 W · 141 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over	48c	100.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.44	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	56c	97.36$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.52	938	45.4%426 W · 512 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over	50c	97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	45c	96.7$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.19	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	18c	94.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	437	21.7%95 W · 342 L	-49.3wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under	20c	89.19$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.77	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under	16c	89.03$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.78	110	56.4%62 W · 48 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	19c	87.06$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.46	260	60.8%158 W · 102 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	69c	77.05$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	167	56.3%94 W · 73 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over	64c	76.44$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.92	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Under	69c	70.79$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.71	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under	72c	66.65$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.66	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under	66c	60.02$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.22	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Under	67c	51.14$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.88	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over	48c	50.84$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over	68c	49.1$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.39	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	72c	47.43$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.28	111	55.9%62 W · 49 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under	53c	45.84$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Under	42c	45.24$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.24	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Under	42c	44.71$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.95	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Under	38c	43.11$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.78	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over	37c	38.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	133	62.4%83 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over	70c	35.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	133	60.2%80 W · 53 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under	51c	34.79$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.18	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Over	51c	33.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.91	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	59cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over	56c	32.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	73	32.9%24 W · 49 L	-10.8wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over	79c	31.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	69cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over	51c	28.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over	73c	26.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	68	72.1%49 W · 19 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over	74c	26.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	23	87%20 W · 3 L	+5.6wins	+0.24per pick	63cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over	51c	20.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	68c	19.78$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.33	1,159	60.7%703 W · 456 L	+68.5wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	72c	19.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	89	69.7%62 W · 27 L	+13.3wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdfea…8006backed Under	58c	17.54$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.36	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5this page
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Under won
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event