TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0a5…3e1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$17.76
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$12.72
Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.49
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$30.18
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+77%+$21.75
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+173.6%+$57.1
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$15.13
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.06
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+98.6%+$86.96
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$30.59
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: SK Torpedo Kutaisi 0 - 0 Zirə FK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.