CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e8e56509c28f3f735eca7c6795c254e2b7cfbca8d25ebe2e0679cb4e4ee451d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Legacy, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed GamerLegion | 70c | 6,535$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.26 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Legacy | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Legacy | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked GamerLegion | 69c | 1,170$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.67 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Legacy | 32c | 884.53$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 29c | 879.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked GamerLegion | 68c | 775.36$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Legacy | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Legacy | 37c | 500$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6382…acbdbacked Legacy | 30c | 419.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed GamerLegion | 55c | 365.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Legacy | 33c | 307.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion | 66c | 303.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Legacy | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed GamerLegion | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Legacy | 17c | 219.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Legacy | 30c | 215.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked GamerLegion | 72c | 208.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…73b3backed Legacy | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GamerLegion | 68c | 158.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed GamerLegion | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Legacy | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed GamerLegion | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked GamerLegion | 67c | 75.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed GamerLegion | 68c | 69.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…1a48backed Legacy | 30c | 67.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c7ebacked Legacy | 31c | 63.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…835ebacked GamerLegion | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed GamerLegion | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed GamerLegion | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked Legacy | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed GamerLegion | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.