CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7d974a7c2f02a8e777fdc95f55c906203da33a35a788483a683b24541e71adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Over | 50c | 50,541$25,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,275.87 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 50c | 45,179$22,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,589.63 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 50c | 1,346$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 51c | 517$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.67 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 50c | 508.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.37 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 50c | 324.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Under | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 50c | 246$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 58c | 168$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 141.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 62c | 127.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…8704backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 50c | 99.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…739abacked Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 51c | 68.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 50c | 62.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 61.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…1608backed Under | 49c | 59.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 57c | 53.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 48c | 46.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 53c | 45.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 50c | 32.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…4aa7backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…a37fbacked Over | 51c | 30.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…f90dbacked Over | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 43c | 28.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 53c | 26.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…d286backed Over | 57c | 24.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 46c | 24.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…c515backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.