Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf305196829a10d26c851e62fbe17c1cd3ad55e4bc9b5b64c9301e83d0c6a16f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Sparkof KRÜ Spark, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed ShindeN | 63c | 1,373$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Spark | 42c | 1,105$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.46 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed KRÜ Spark | 43c | 509.72$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KRÜ Spark | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KRÜ Spark | 54c | 271.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KRÜ Spark | 37c | 194.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Spark | 71c | 188.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ShindeN | 77c | 129.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked ShindeN | 38c | 103.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ShindeN | 42c | 98.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked KRÜ Spark | 37c | 94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed KRÜ Spark | 63c | 92.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ShindeN | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…b9d8backed ShindeN | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 32c | 43.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked KRÜ Spark | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed ShindeN | 61c | 36.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…6182backed KRÜ Spark | 71c | 25.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: ShindeN (-1.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+1.5)KRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group BKRÜ Spark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.