Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc63f941b5bd3fecc5894678b4437d1fcb19d2443201ca86b9df1bf54c9b6c6d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof All Gamers, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2371…d59fbacked All Gamers | 61c | 819.83$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed XLG Gaming | 8c | 731.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed All Gamers | 79c | 500.27$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming | 9c | 446.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked XLG Gaming | 30c | 445.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed All Gamers | 68c | 424.43$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.04 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 266.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked All Gamers | 55c | 255$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked XLG Gaming | 37c | 209.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed All Gamers | 45c | 194.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked XLG Gaming | 17c | 134.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed XLG Gaming | 21c | 127.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming | 37c | 100.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming | 22c | 97.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 82.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 62.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked All Gamers | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…c191backed XLG Gaming | 35c | 59.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed All Gamers | 59c | 54.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked XLG Gaming | 20c | 51.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed All Gamers | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed All Gamers | 60c | 49.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked All Gamers | 45c | 43.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…0c62backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 39.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked XLG Gaming | 48c | 29.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed All Gamers | 62c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking MatchesXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.