Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x748d51c1ce4522e4672e4e031bd45e36691a2addcdcac8f63fabdf7e40086812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Barça eSports, FALKE ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 55c | 1,346$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.21 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Barça eSports | 50c | 480.18$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed FALKE ESPORTS | 25c | 382.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Barça eSports | 42c | 374.24$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Barça eSports | 75c | 253.27$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Barça eSports | 42c | 207.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Barça eSports | 75c | 192.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FALKE ESPORTS | 32c | 173.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Barça eSports | 43c | 154.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Barça eSports | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed FALKE ESPORTS | 50c | 77.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Barça eSports | 71c | 65.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Barça eSports | 66c | 49.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Barça eSports | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Barça eSports | 62c | 21.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs FALKE ESPORTS (+1.5)Barça eSports won
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsBarça eSports won
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 1 WinnerFALKE ESPORTS won
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 4 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.