TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Barça eSportsof Barça eSports, FALKE ESPORTS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Barça eSports74c3,891$2,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.8678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Barça eSports72c1,144$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9430147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed FALKE ESPORTS26c1,026$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8423447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Barça eSports75c1,008$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.924846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Barça eSports74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26017349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed FALKE ESPORTS26c989.33$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3210551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed FALKE ESPORTS26c919.29$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0115942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FALKE ESPORTS15c887.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4670251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked FALKE ESPORTS25c790.09$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.629733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x003d…1bddbacked FALKE ESPORTS27c707.91$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed FALKE ESPORTS27c701.44$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9718735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed FALKE ESPORTS29c644.35$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8216041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Barça eSports79c366.73$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.449953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed FALKE ESPORTS18c340.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.634047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed FALKE ESPORTS26c322$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.13333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Barça eSports74c262.07$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.145635.7%20 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed FALKE ESPORTS26c238.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.116640.9%27 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Barça eSports80c234.06$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.111,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed FALKE ESPORTS26c183.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.783327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked FALKE ESPORTS8c173.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5514729.9%44 W · 103 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Barça eSports79c150.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9916842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1f…06f6backed FALKE ESPORTS26c144.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Barça eSports79c136.22$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.615453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FALKE ESPORTS17c135.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed FALKE ESPORTS26c123.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1823732.9%78 W · 159 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked FALKE ESPORTS21c116.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.424533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcfe…68f8backed FALKE ESPORTS27c101.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Barça eSports70c85.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.675856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed FALKE ESPORTS26c84.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9911446.5%53 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FALKE ESPORTS19c75.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2921558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked FALKE ESPORTS17c74.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3610346.6%48 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Barça eSports74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612239.3%48 W · 74 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x611c…a931backed Barça eSports75c52.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.13785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Barça eSports75c44.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0416046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed FALKE ESPORTS26c42.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Barça eSports74c37.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.794346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59eb…7d85backed Barça eSports73c26.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3032…2c71backed Barça eSports70c26.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.897263.9%46 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5c…2ba2backed Barça eSports75c26.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.57580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Barça eSports72c24.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7911100%11 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Barça eSports74c20.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.241,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Barça eSports74c19.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1430652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.