CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c75bf89894b1ab1deae29e45523660d464855dd78191aae090259257fbe3c55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Passion UA | 46c | 2,656$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.82 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 1,040$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.13 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 1,014$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 950.67$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 600$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Passion UA | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…5191backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 438.33$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Passion UA | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Passion UA | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Passion UA | 12c | 212.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Passion UA | 21c | 166.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Passion UA | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA | 12c | 134.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 85.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Passion UA | 17c | 60.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Passion UA | 18c | 59.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Passion UA | 43c | 36.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Passion UA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.