CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6afadb48eebb5b5feb79635cf38c74ac4369229efedb10bc34350ae4dd03b918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RED Canids | 68c | 4,043$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.4 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Sharks | 24c | 2,670$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Sharks | 61c | 2,596$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.07 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed RED Canids | 46c | 1,582$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.92 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Sharks | 36c | 1,020$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.32 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed RED Canids | 66c | 1,007$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.85 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed RED Canids | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sharks | 4c | 951.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed RED Canids | 70c | 903.04$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.74 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 37c | 811.73$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked RED Canids | 41c | 597$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.23 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed RED Canids | 38c | 591.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.44 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Sharks | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked RED Canids | 76c | 328.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Sharks | 63c | 324.56$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Sharks | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sharks | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…a851backed Sharks | 31c | 299.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -11.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 37c | 268$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Sharks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Sharks | 56c | 258.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed RED Canids | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked RED Canids | 38c | 243$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked RED Canids | 52c | 210.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Sharks | 28c | 201.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed RED Canids | 71c | 197.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Sharks | 59c | 186.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked RED Canids | 78c | 175.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Sharks | 61c | 171.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked RED Canids | 38c | 165$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked RED Canids | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed RED Canids | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Sharks | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Sharks | 28c | 113.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Sharks | 23c | 113.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed RED Canids | 70c | 101.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Sharks | 53c | 89.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked RED Canids | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Sharks | 58c | 89.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed Sharks | 24c | 89.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed RED Canids | 67c | 87.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Sharks | 46c | 86.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Sharks | 29c | 84.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Sharks | 30c | 80.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed RED Canids | 40c | 79.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…6725backed Sharks | 46c | 53.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sharks | 35c | 51.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed RED Canids | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…f536backed RED Canids | 61c | 48.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed RED Canids | 66c | 48.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed RED Canids | 73c | 46.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sharks | 30c | 44.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Sharks | 46c | 43.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Sharks | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Sharks | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed RED Canids | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…1640backed RED Canids | 67c | 29.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked RED Canids | 72c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed RED Canids | 58c | 26.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…fab6backed Sharks | 42c | 26.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Sharks | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed RED Canids | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Sharks | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Sharks | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed RED Canids | 69c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed RED Canids | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed RED Canids | 53c | 21.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Sharks | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…99d6backed RED Canids | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerRED Canids won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.