La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dbddaa440a3557437146d3a5270d059358089dcbb17395addd15c3e8fb0936e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 3,652$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.12 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 2,318$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.86 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 38c | 882.13$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.21 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 38c | 860.08$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.63 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 786.95$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.91 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 37c | 577.81$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.79 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 26c | 420.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 38c | 390.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 33c | 368.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 17c | 290$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Yes | 38c | 266.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 240.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 36c | 210.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 62c | 207$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 62c | 202.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 172.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 44c | 151.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 34c | 150.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Yes | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 142.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 16c | 127.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 38c | 104.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 73.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 34c | 70.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 47c | 42.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…d6f1backed Yes | 37c | 37.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.