La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67cdc7701950d4381ff4fa13fbfb1e903ecaa2d34f7e7da7ac99eedb9b709f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,678$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.36 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 33c | 1,358$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.14 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 745.77$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 34c | 296.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 67c | 282.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 31c | 201.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 174.45$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 33c | 157$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 35c | 145.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 33c | 82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 56.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 52.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b0…f4bcbacked Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 73c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?Yes won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.