La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0619a115286e72d17d4cdd6c9b641edf49e189d061f1c008f85b490311ea0754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,182$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.42 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 32c | 940.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.18 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 880.52$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.02 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 608.22$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.37 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 71c | 502.14$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.52 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 437.68$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 230.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 30c | 152$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 17c | 149.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 7c | 133.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 121.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 30c | 108$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 30c | 101.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 31c | 71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 31c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked No | 70c | 48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 42.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 70c | 32.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…5cd0backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked No | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 26.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 74c | 14.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-30?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.