Mls · resolved market
Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7056c8d25da6c2bd157e9ae8a0ee1dffa0701eb95049ba90b95ba66258b2dd02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,092$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.15 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 72c | 547.94$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 71c | 376.24$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 71c | 364.82$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 333.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 29c | 245.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 70c | 161.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…adcfbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 29c | 123$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 71c | 88.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 69c | 84.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 60c | 83.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 77.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 64c | 59.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Over | 72c | 55.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 28c | 54.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 32c | 47.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 68c | 28.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…053bbacked Over | 69c | 15.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.