Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe18b5a4a30d92237fc7712c2b797e4f6d92eee7682593fdbedc432dd75c2bc95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inter Miami CFof Inter Miami CF, Orlando City SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7702…9791backed Inter Miami CF | 30c | 8,618$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,006.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Orlando City SC | 70c | 7,206$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.92 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Inter Miami CF | 33c | 3,386$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.23 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Orlando City SC | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.97 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Orlando City SC | 67c | 1,300$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Inter Miami CF | 32c | 936.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.98 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Orlando City SC | 67c | 900$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Orlando City SC | 71c | 526$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd5…09c2backed Inter Miami CF | 38c | 443$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Orlando City SC | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orlando City SC | 67c | 279.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Orlando City SC | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Inter Miami CF | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Orlando City SC | 68c | 54.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Orlando City SC | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Inter Miami CF | 33c | 37.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Orlando City SC | 68c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Orlando City SC | 71c | 21.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…6e25backed Orlando City SC | 71c | 18.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.