TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$396,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over31c127,494$39,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,936.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under69c16,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1008845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under68c11,792$8,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,022.2925149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c6,103$4,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,046.1326345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under69c4,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7602360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c3,547$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.083,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under68c2,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7005054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c2,355$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.6477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under70c1,420$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99420648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under69c844.86$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.44843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over79c688.24$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.24560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under68c661.76$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over55c607.77$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.774551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under69c600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4146155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42015341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c581.85$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under54c528.66$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.521172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under27c477.18$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3646156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over29c439.41$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.982737%10 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under69c435.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad7d…251fbacked Under47c426.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under75c417.51$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2728540%34 W · 51 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under38c348.7$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.011145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over68c295.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.919758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over58c259.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2e…3fb7backed Under47c205.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.162259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Over63c184.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Under33c182.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under71c172.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4124351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24de…da7fbacked Under72c139.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under68c135$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.88653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over34c127.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6139567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over49c116.59$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.614355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under68c115$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.25651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under68c112$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.164656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Over77c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over38c108.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over64c106.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over31c99.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under68c90$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.25556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under68c90$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.25154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over53c83.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.573348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over80c83.66$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.97642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63cb…f382backed Under71c83.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Under64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c76.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4116453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d17…d4dcbacked Under64c76.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under68c75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Under27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c69.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.941,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under35c67.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under42c62.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7413950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.84854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.84953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.84951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under71c57.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86dc…2570backed Under71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed Under71c54.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over65c54.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+62.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ae…a9dcbacked Over39c50.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x261c…d49dbacked Under71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7718…4c1bbacked Over27c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over56c49.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.992975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c46.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.432646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over51c45.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.092972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under36c44.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9428721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over53c42.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07a6…5638backed Under73c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick77cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2139…7fe2backed Under57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Under37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca1…5446backed Under38c39.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b7…9802backed Over76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31bb…3dbabacked Under46c37.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x871f…5885backed Under71c32.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7228851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x359a…01f0backed Under64c31.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Under71c30.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.45653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under71c28.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Under72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.