TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccb2…8586backed Over72c61,575$44,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,241.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c39,208$10,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,697.712,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under28c17,206$4,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,817.5840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c6,851$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.5498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under28c3,464$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.9233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf131…69cabacked Over72c1,530$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.36366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x638f…d9afbacked Over72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Under1c1,351$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2905064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over72c799.77$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over73c688.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7719353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over68c602.75$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.962763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under29c588.85$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.299750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under25c516.13$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3516838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Over73c516.08$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under28c439.39$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.032536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over70c419.93$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.582584%21 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under29c371.67$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.096245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under28c322.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4711150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under28c321$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under28c278.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under27c259.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5623244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c228.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over72c210$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.84872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over72c208$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5619652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under29c197.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c06…3b44backed Under28c178.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under35c157.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e4…c892backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8917958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Over78c128.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.022250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140c…f4b4backed Over71c125$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under17c107.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6723345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under29c103.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Under11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Over71c99.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over72c95.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df0…42d1backed Over71c91.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.18158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under20c84.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.874825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under28c78.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0324955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6318055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76be…5da1backed Under28c72.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x635f…6be6backed Over72c69.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.481275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.445862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6b2…4951backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Over72c69.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed Over72c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.322080%16 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59eb…e93fbacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Over72c62.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Under30c57.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.311526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Under29c54.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Over73c51.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.971080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Under29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over68c51.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.477661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Under29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over74c46.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over72c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over80c43.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8331051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252576%19 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ce…ea8dbacked Over73c40.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2421251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Over72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.722653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over67c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2218125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over73c32.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over72c31.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.942931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over77c31.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.323161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over68c30.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.882466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Over75c30.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.552360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.614549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over71c28.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7815253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a6b…9bf4backed Over73c27.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over72c20.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.912157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…04efbacked Over72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Over72c16.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8529…b973backed Over80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.211161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over71c14.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2217955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea37…f7b1backed Over72c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over73c13.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.767862.8%49 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.