TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Menorca: Justin Engel vs Inaki Montes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Justin Engelof Justin Engel, Inaki Montes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b14…5301backed Inaki Montes0c8,341$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.511325.7%29 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Inaki Montes79c5,022$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,950.1433556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Inaki Montes71c4,153$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,947.7824558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Justin Engel67c3,845$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Inaki Montes56c3,197$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.053,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Justin Engel58c2,469$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.311,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Inaki Montes33c2,453$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.268,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Inaki Montes22c1,992$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.242,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Justin Engel74c1,846$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.282,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Inaki Montes34c1,691$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.262,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Inaki Montes29c1,463$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.457,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Inaki Montes33c1,444$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9739431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Justin Engel65c1,399$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.042,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Inaki Montes33c1,246$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.812,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Justin Engel73c1,059$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5550156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Justin Engel46c1,009$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.179855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Inaki Montes28c772.11$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.074,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Justin Engel30c705.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.1637230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Justin Engel73c597.96$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0285348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Justin Engel74c536.9$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5948453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Justin Engel73c521$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.51,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Justin Engel71c517$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9311659.5%69 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Inaki Montes52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.824638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Inaki Montes42c460.95$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.656,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Justin Engel55c448.65$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.511327.4%31 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Inaki Montes36c438.07$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.289,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Inaki Montes48c435.41$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.944,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Justin Engel69c426.7$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2837071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Justin Engel73c426.01$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1684963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Justin Engel46c425.09$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6341544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Justin Engel72c407.93$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9139955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Justin Engel43c393.28$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.179135.2%32 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Justin Engel40c361.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.91,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Inaki Montes58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.961,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Inaki Montes58c335.65$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.971435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Justin Engel74c332.57$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4741658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Justin Engel50c292.59$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.471,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Justin Engel45c290.1$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5615956%89 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a7…c4eebacked Justin Engel37c283.68$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18020338.4%78 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Justin Engel72c271.89$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2230555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Inaki Montes58c248.2$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.962,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Justin Engel72c244.39$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.551,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Inaki Montes54c243.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.527,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Justin Engel42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2930653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Inaki Montes65c225.57$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.19462.8%59 W · 35 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Justin Engel56c204.13$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1884736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Inaki Montes40c199.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Justin Engel71c196.44$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1737153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Justin Engel58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6223865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Justin Engel21c174.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9712831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Inaki Montes63c171.58$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.727154.9%39 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Inaki Montes58c168.15$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4850458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Justin Engel43c157.89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9086835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Inaki Montes63c155.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7833149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Justin Engel52c145.67$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.071,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Justin Engel71c143.43$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1115748.4%76 W · 81 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6477…4243backed Justin Engel36c138.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.894045%18 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Justin Engel47c124.47$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9722646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Justin Engel47c124.47$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9748650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Justin Engel44c124.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.794,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Inaki Montes56c123.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.29757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Justin Engel42c115.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.766254.8%34 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Justin Engel68c107.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8281255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Inaki Montes58c104.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4320664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Inaki Montes64c100.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.649764.9%63 W · 34 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Inaki Montes58c100.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4971165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Inaki Montes34c99.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.873,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2862…78dcbacked Justin Engel29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.321844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Inaki Montes54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5151539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Inaki Montes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.57349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Justin Engel47c95.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0db…67fcbacked Justin Engel74c91.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76860.3%41 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd1…1e86backed Inaki Montes32c86.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.016923.2%16 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Inaki Montes15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1269438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Inaki Montes30c79.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.821,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Inaki Montes47c78.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6423634.7%82 W · 154 L-37.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Justin Engel52c70.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9428348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Inaki Montes57c68.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9769253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Inaki Montes58c65.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2850259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Justin Engel54c64.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3510242.2%43 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed Inaki Montes59c63.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.333650%18 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91af…40bdbacked Justin Engel41c58.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Justin Engel61c56.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.91,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5b…7216backed Inaki Montes52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1414770.7%104 W · 43 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Inaki Montes57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2330053.3%160 W · 140 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c1c…dd59backed Inaki Montes49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.242630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Justin Engel74c48.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5824460.2%147 W · 97 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Justin Engel47c46.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5716447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Inaki Montes56c46.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8345051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bec…37d3backed Justin Engel68c45.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4914272.5%103 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Justin Engel50c44.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2119250.5%97 W · 95 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Justin Engel45c42.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.453457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Justin Engel46c40.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.833842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Justin Engel67c36.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0443558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Justin Engel73c35.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.615761.4%35 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Justin Engel75c34.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8425661.3%157 W · 99 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Inaki Montes57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.482,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Justin Engel71c33.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9533557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Inaki Montes58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.541272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Justin Engel70c33.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9516175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.