Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab523d8dd302ff9cd591b6fd0676f3fd0bd41cb854ad0e17a1811fa29eef8fba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,116 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 67c | 2,688$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 31c | 588$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.72 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 438.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 11c | 419$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 33c | 394.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.47 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 33c | 387.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.32 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 23c | 315.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…ad47backed Over | 71c | 188.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 187.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 37c | 173.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 43c | 82.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 47.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 37.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 56c | 26.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 76c | 25.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -6.6wins | -0.55per pick | 64cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 18.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 76c | 16.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.