Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Sandro Kopp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cdc5f4e0d0052b5e6c905e506851a30dc02763dafe8df55a111b949189c05d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sandro Koppof Roberto Carballes Baena, Sandro Kopp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 13c | 19,830$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.87 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Sandro Kopp | 80c | 14,015$11,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 19c | 4,413$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.24 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Sandro Kopp | 19c | 3,073$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.68 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 74c | 2,829$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.26 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Sandro Kopp | 19c | 1,628$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.49 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sandro Kopp | 61c | 1,452$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.58 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Sandro Kopp | 21c | 1,249$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.53 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 18c | 1,088$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…e7b3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 77c | 1,006$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 55c | 872.73$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sandro Kopp | 36c | 781.84$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 58c | 654.1$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 617.28$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 29c | 592.59$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 54c | 534.48$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sandro Kopp | 75c | 516.64$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 380.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sandro Kopp | 42c | 360.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.71 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Sandro Kopp | 61c | 328.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 29c | 311.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f6…8f75backed Sandro Kopp | 24c | 300$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 43c | 222.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Sandro Kopp | 59c | 199$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 52c | 191.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Sandro Kopp | 65c | 189$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sandro Kopp | 68c | 188$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 185.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…a71cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sandro Kopp | 17c | 161.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Sandro Kopp | 18c | 160.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 75c | 152.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Sandro Kopp | 18c | 140$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 76c | 131$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sandro Kopp | 67c | 128$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sandro Kopp | 23c | 125$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 111.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Sandro Kopp | 21c | 111.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Sandro Kopp | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sandro Kopp | 65c | 104$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sandro Kopp | 23c | 102$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc218…b88ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sandro Kopp | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sandro Kopp | 55c | 89.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Sandro Kopp | 65c | 84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sandro Kopp | 44c | 74.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sandro Kopp | 64c | 73.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Sandro Kopp | 19c | 72.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Sandro Kopp | 20c | 70.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Sandro Kopp | 18c | 61.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Sandro Kopp | 19c | 60.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Sandro Kopp | 53c | 56.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Sandro Kopp | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Sandro Kopp | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 44.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b449backed Sandro Kopp | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 54c | 37.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Sandro Kopp | 78c | 32.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…adddbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 52c | 26.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe894…d8dfbacked Sandro Kopp | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…433dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.