Cricket · resolved market
ODI Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1d7165be959378d4afbab73dd074fbdfb3922b4ec303778ee5cd33e9bda0fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hong Kong, Chinaof Hong Kong, China, Kuwait
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,456 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hong Kong, China | 22c | 2,169$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.18 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…911dbacked Hong Kong, China | 42c | 1,000$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Hong Kong, China | 52c | 939.54$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Hong Kong, China | 51c | 402.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Kuwait | 42c | 364.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…e7ebbacked Hong Kong, China | 17c | 349.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…2abfbacked Hong Kong, China | 78c | 314.69$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Hong Kong, China | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Hong Kong, China | 66c | 175.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Hong Kong, China | 66c | 154.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Hong Kong, China | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hong Kong, China | 48c | 119.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…25dcbacked Hong Kong, China | 49c | 116.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Kuwait | 61c | 111.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…723fbacked Kuwait | 39c | 109.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Kuwait | 46c | 107.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Hong Kong, China | 37c | 102.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Hong Kong, China | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Hong Kong, China | 58c | 98.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…a557backed Kuwait | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 71cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Hong Kong, China | 60c | 78.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kuwait | 47c | 75.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Hong Kong, China | 35c | 75.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Hong Kong, China | 24c | 68.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Hong Kong, China | 58c | 67.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…9aafbacked Hong Kong, China | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7db2backed Kuwait | 55c | 59.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Hong Kong, China | 57c | 52.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Hong Kong, China | 26c | 52.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…9ce9backed Hong Kong, China | 62c | 51.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Hong Kong, China | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…02d3backed Hong Kong, China | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Hong Kong, China | 40c | 46.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Kuwait | 56c | 43.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Kuwait | 67c | 33.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…c762backed Hong Kong, China | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…bec1backed Hong Kong, China | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…f433backed Kuwait | 79c | 23.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…bbf3backed Hong Kong, China | 66c | 23.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…8a3cbacked Kuwait | 66c | 20.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…7d36backed Kuwait | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Hong Kong, China | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7c…9e02backed Hong Kong, China | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…e40abacked Kuwait | 79c | 15.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Kuwait | 76c | 13.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.