NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23311ded064ee1b197a279d87e3bd00b85fda3b1e41aaffac959d2b744fd9702

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 76ersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved: Feb 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $58,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,847 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers	40c	5,019$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,008.03	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3e…9688backed Pacers	41c	3,641$1,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed 76ers	61c	3,400$2,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,326	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a13…7bacbacked Pacers	41c	2,924$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a759backed 76ers	59c	2,894$1,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,186.54	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+86.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f8…6aafbacked Pacers	41c	2,862$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…40d2backed 76ers	59c	2,826$1,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eac…4c26backed 76ers	59c	2,819$1,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84c3…074dbacked 76ers	59c	2,782$1,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x513d…a28abacked 76ers	59c	2,729$1,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.89	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a6…d497backed Pacers	41c	2,666$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7a…ba60backed 76ers	59c	2,535$1,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3af9…213dbacked 76ers	59c	2,439$1,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9f…2499backed Pacers	41c	2,437$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d6…f0d5backed Pacers	41c	2,401$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf79…fce0backed 76ers	59c	2,396$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1555…6f5fbacked Pacers	41c	2,375$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4f7…bfedbacked 76ers	59c	2,361$1,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff96…ab38backed 76ers	59c	2,333$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a24…7f74backed Pacers	41c	2,303$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa7…ebb9backed 76ers	59c	2,299$1,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a6…7261backed Pacers	41c	2,271$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc953…631fbacked 76ers	59c	2,200$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c7…a462backed Pacers	41c	2,188$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d65…e160backed Pacers	41c	2,139$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers	58c	2,131$1,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.75	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x043f…b50abacked 76ers	59c	2,128$1,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1510…859ebacked 76ers	59c	2,100$1,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48fa…602bbacked Pacers	41c	2,076$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4402…724ebacked Pacers	41c	2,067$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c3…edbdbacked Pacers	41c	2,064$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e21…3285backed Pacers	41c	1,928$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf781…d88dbacked Pacers	41c	1,924$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff4…9d73backed Pacers	41c	1,920$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1281…6d87backed 76ers	59c	1,895$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.95	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac09…ce8fbacked Pacers	41c	1,886$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddda…858abacked Pacers	41c	1,866$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…bf64backed 76ers	59c	1,841$1,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd846…36fcbacked 76ers	59c	1,804$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6030…7345backed 76ers	59c	1,780$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.8	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+50%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…c1f5backed 76ers	59c	1,728$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa083…5dc7backed Pacers	41c	1,717$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a41…e8f2backed Pacers	41c	1,697$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb63a…0441backed 76ers	59c	1,656$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.96	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+86.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc78b…202abacked 76ers	59c	1,627$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.07	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…aa06backed Pacers	41c	1,611$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9f…5c6ebacked 76ers	59c	1,581$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.21	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e4…0404backed Pacers	41c	1,524$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…8cc5backed 76ers	59c	1,515$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x795e…c0c9backed 76ers	59c	1,509$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.69	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80aa…27a3backed Pacers	41c	1,244$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers	41c	453.25$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.54	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Pacers	38c	345.58$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.87	172	33.7%58 W · 114 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed 76ers	62c	225.81$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.81	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers	71c	184.09$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.6	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3a…4d28backed Pacers	40c	142.07$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.83	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Pacers	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…9278backed 76ers	60c	71.15$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.46	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…1ab8backed 76ers	60c	70.92$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.37	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers	41c	65.45$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers	62c	65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Pacers	42c	48.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed 76ers	60c	41.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.44	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked 76ers	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers	41c	32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked 76ers	61c	22.73$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.77	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-7.8wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed 76ers	60c	18.85$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: 76ers (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event