NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50579865222b6bb89a71b37139206eb53e67f5c4f4b6be4cff94dd329720229a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x170b…4999backed Pacers | 38c | 2,202$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…7ee1backed Pacers | 38c | 1,888$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 32c | 1,556$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Pacers | 40c | 1,285$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.86 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed 76ers | 65c | 1,270$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.7 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…b8d1backed 76ers | 62c | 1,089$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…d60bbacked 76ers | 62c | 1,033$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb1…810cbacked 76ers | 62c | 1,011$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…74c2backed 76ers | 62c | 957$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Pacers | 35c | 756.93$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed 76ers | 71c | 734.91$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers | 67c | 629$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 36c | 627.4$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed 76ers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked 76ers | 65c | 306$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers | 51c | 303.62$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pacers | 6c | 293.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed 76ers | 65c | 233.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pacers | 32c | 222.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked 76ers | 65c | 164.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 60c | 127.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Pacers | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pacers | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed 76ers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked 76ers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Pacers | 35c | 97.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 36c | 91.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 34c | 76.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked 76ers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…2394backed 76ers | 64c | 68.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Pacers | 55c | 62.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…6010backed 76ers | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 35c | 52.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Pacers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 34c | 49.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed 76ers | 67c | 44.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked 76ers | 64c | 44.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers | 61c | 40.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pacers | 36c | 39.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pacers | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…a4a9backed 76ers | 62c | 36.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Pacers | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Pacers | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Pacers | 37c | 29.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pacers | 43c | 28.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed 76ers | 63c | 26.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…8b54backed Pacers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 76ers | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked 76ers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jay Huff: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kam Jones: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kam Jones: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.