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NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c22,402$10,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,740.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over53c21,177$11,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,960.3943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over52c8,941$4,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.961,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a0…92b5backed Under51c5,440$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebbd…3e1abacked Over48c5,424$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x065a…3dffbacked Over49c5,166$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecf5…19afbacked Under51c4,844$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.44785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+72.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e07…e915backed Over49c4,698$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e07…5b86backed Under52c4,515$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993b…6a7ebacked Under51c4,182$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa985…4d99backed Over49c4,152$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b8…d280backed Over49c4,100$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae9…7d2fbacked Under51c4,100$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…d2dabacked Under51c3,952$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed4d…86c3backed Over48c3,774$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c3,732$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.3280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x199e…a71ebacked Under52c3,732$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x384a…639abacked Over49c3,728$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd379…0c92backed Under51c3,716$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d0…001bbacked Under52c3,554$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f9…1622backed Over49c3,552$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabc5…a802backed Over49c3,516$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over53c3,350$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.513946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbe…023dbacked Under51c3,186$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3a…978cbacked Over49c3,186$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.861060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…5d2fbacked Under51c3,134$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc1…45abbacked Over49c3,082$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc3…e68fbacked Under51c3,072$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d98…3b77backed Under52c3,002$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb3…c2ccbacked Over49c2,934$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f50…ee4dbacked Under51c2,926$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd070…3647backed Over49c2,926$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2994…04c3backed Over49c2,862$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf86…4c2dbacked Over49c2,680$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x964e…9749backed Under52c2,422$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,257$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.124,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c59…8d9abacked Under51c2,228$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8813…5e5abacked Over48c2,214$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Over50c1,998$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.014443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,994$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under49c1,726$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.6424847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c1,667$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.572,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x199e…017ebacked Under51c1,660$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under49c1,636$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b89…3dc1backed Under51c1,610$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b31…0d6cbacked Under51c1,546$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Under51c1,492$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7616755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Under47c1,489$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c1,310$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,144$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b5…43f1backed Under52c924$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c903.66$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.861,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…ef7fbacked Over49c680$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under53c566.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c507.76$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3590…b9d2backed Over49c390$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…9886backed Over49c380$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e21…26c2backed Over49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16a…f3debacked Over49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1096…e921backed Over49c340$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb4…76f1backed Over49c340$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c333.65$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.52,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc03…119ebacked Over49c310$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f3…e19dbacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb896…bebabacked Over49c260$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5787…b8ccbacked Over49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c225$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over48c203.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under50c164$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Over49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.274637%17 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c137.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.113,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c99.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9965649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c94.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under12c88.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c83.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.022,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Over49c75.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5121352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over53c53.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over49c48.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…234fbacked Over51c32.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.219352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under50c24.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1112548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d7…0b48backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over51c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.